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RESEARCH

Australian Apartment Market Outlook

Australia's apartment market experienced a significant pivot in Q2 2026 as federal tax reform, consecutive RBA rate increases, and state budget commitments converged within a compressed timeframe. Market sentiment has turned cautious following a strong start to the year, with sale price momentum moderating and transaction activity softening across most capital cities.

Key Market Developments:

Perth led annual apartment price growth at 23.8%, followed by Brisbane (17.7%) and Adelaide (14.5%). Sydney and Melbourne posted more modest gains of 5.1% and 4.0% respectively. Rental growth patterns shifted, with Sydney (4.2%) now outpacing Melbourne (3.6%) for the first time in over two years, while Brisbane maintained the strongest growth at 8.3%.

Over 160,000 apartments are tracked across major markets through to 2030, with approximately 59,000 under construction. However, persistent construction cost inflation and feasibility challenges continue constraining delivery.

Outlook:

While near-term caution prevails, structural fundamentals remain supportive. Elevated population growth of over 310,000 through net overseas migration and persistent housing supply shortages continue underpinning demand. The key risk remains whether negative sentiment becomes self-fulfilling.

 

 

Download the Australian Apartment Market Overview Q2

 

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